CHANGING FACE OF BOKO HARAM

Imam Abubakar Mohammed Shekau, Boko Haram leader

Imam Abubakar Mohammed Shekau, Boko Haram leader

May 24, 2012
Special Report
By Xan Rice

IN 2005, a young journalist named
Ahmad Salkida was living in Maiduguri, north-eastern Nigeria, when one of his mother’s friends knocked on the door. Her son had dropped out of university to study under a local imam. She begged Mr. Salkida to persuade him to return
home. The student refused to change his
mind and instead introduced Mr.Salkida to the imam, Mohammed Yusuf, a “brilliant orator” heavily influenced by the conservative teachings of a 13th century cleric.

Soon Mr Salkida began praying at Yusuf’s mosque – and reporting on the rise of an increasingly radical, if obscure, sect. Today Boko Haram, or “western
education is forbidden”, is notorious
throughout Nigeria.

The police execution of Yusuf in 2009 sparked an insurgency in the country’s north that has become as violent as any in the world. About 500 people, mostly
Muslims, have been killed this year in
Boko Haram raids, suicide attacks and
commando-style assaults targeting
police, students, the media,churchgoers and ordinary civilians.

Indeed on Tuesday, news agencies
reported that at least seven people
were killed in separate overnight
shootings in the north-eastern states,
which they said were linked to the
sect.

Choice of targets

Yet with the Islamist group holding no
territory and providing no services to
local populations to win support –unlike the Taliban in Afghanistan and al-Shabab in Somalia – it remains largely faceless and mysterious to many Nigerians. But not to Mr. Salkida.

The 37-year-old journalist is one of the
few people outside the sect able to talk authoritatively on the Boko Haram
ideology, its leader Abubakar Shekau,its choice of targets and what Mr. Salkida describes as the group’s growing links with al-Qaeda. Arrested with Yusuf in 2009, Mr.Salkida narrowly survived being killed by police, and has continued to report on Boko Haram, as his old contacts,now underground, sent him video clips of attacks and personal details of suicide bombers, and claims of
responsibility.

The closeness of his relations became clear in March, when, in an effort to initiate dialogue between the government and Boko Haram, the head of the Supreme Council for Sharia in Nigeria asked Mr.Salkida to act as a go-between with the insurgent leaders. Mr. Salkida secured Boko Haram’s commitment to talks but they subsequently fell through due to a dispute between the government and the Supreme Council.

Though his closeness to the insurgent
leaders has led to harassment and
questions about his partiality, causing
him to take a break from writing, few
question his expertise or knowledge.
Shehu Sani, a civil society activist in northern Nigeria, says: “He’s the most
authoritative voice on Boko Haram today.” Mannir Dan Ali, editor of the
Daily Trust, Mr Salkida’s former employer, adds: “He is the one journalist with access, who understands their position.”

In an interview in Abuja, Mr. Salkida said that Mr Yusuf, the movement’s founder, has based his teachings on the works of Ibn Taymiyya, after whom he named his mosque in Maiduguri, and who has influenced other modern radical Islamist
movements. Ibn Taymiyya believed in
the strict adherence to the Koran and
principles of the Prophet Mohammed,
and was devoted to the concept of
holy war. “Boko Haram was founded on ideology, but poor governance was the catalyst for it to spread.”

Yusuf, who named his sect “People
Committed to the Propagation of the
Prophet’s Teachings and Jihad”,reasoned that elements in the modern
education system conflicted with this
interpretation of Islam – hence his movement’s nickname. “On education,
he did not want mixed schools, or the
teaching of evolution. He wanted
children to have more time to study
their religion,” says Mr. Salkida. “But it
was not just education. Democracy was alien to him, and he said he could not support a government whose constitution was not based on the
Koran.”

In northern Nigeria, sharia law was
already in place before Boko Haram
launched in 2002. But it was applied
mildly and failed to check the rampant
corruption, inequality and injustice.
Poverty levels were high, and growing, and for most young people there were
few job prospects. “Boko Haram was
founded on ideology, but poor governance was the catalyst for it to
spread. If there had been proper
governance and a functioning state, Yusuf would have found it very difficult to succeed,” Mr Salkida says.

Before Yusuf’s execution, Boko Haram
had a microfinance system, operated a
farm and its own ruling council and
emirs, Mr. Salkida says. His following
stretched far beyond Maiduguri and
Borno State, across northern Nigeria, as well as into neighbouring Niger,Cameroon and Chad. Mr. Salkida
witnessed the fervency of Yusuf’s
followers when violence first erupted
in July 2009.

On capturing a policeman – a fellow Muslim – they “slaughtered him like a goat.” At the same time, hundreds of Boko Haram members were thrown into police cells – as was Mr. Salkida.

When Yusuf was brought in, Mr. Salkida heard police singing “no mercy, no mercy”. Yusuf was executed by an impromptu firing squad behind Mr. Salkida’s cell. “I don’t think that the police were acting on orders, but
emotions. Boko Haram was killing
their colleagues.”

Attacks in past year

•June 17 2011. Suicide bomber strikes
police headquarters, leaving six dead.

•August 26. At least 18 killed in car
bomb attack on UN headquarters in
Abuja

•December 25. Bombs set off at three
churches, killing at least 27 people

•January 20 2012. Nearly 200 people
killed in Kano bombings

•April 26. Suicide bombings on two
offices of This Day newspaper, in
Abuja and Kaduna, killing four people

Yusuf was also growing increasingly
militant.

In an interview with Mr.Salkida days before his death, he said: “Democracy and the current system of education must be changed otherwise this war that is yet to start would continue for long.” Mr Salkida returned to Maiduguri as a freelancer in 2010.Yusuf’s mosques and many homes had been destroyed, causing huge resentment.

Some sect members who survived fled to neighbouring countries selling their stories of injustice, Mr. Salkida says. Having been dormant for more than a
year, Boko Haram re-emerged under
the leadership of Abubakar Shekau,
Yusuf’s deputy. Mr. Salkida knew him
before 2009 and estimates that he is
34 years old.

“Shekau was always studying and writing, and was more devoted and modest than anyone else.He would only wear cheap clothes and did not accept even to drive a car,preferring a motorbike. Even when Boko Haram was peaceful, he was somehow more feared than Yusuf.”

Initially, Boko Haram launched small
attacks on security forces. In June last
year, the first suicide bomber struck,
driving his car full of explosives into
the police headquarters in Abuja. Two
months later, a second bomber blew up a UN building in Abuja. This was an
attempt to tighten existing links with
al-Qaeda in the Maghreb by illustrating
Boko Haram’s capacity to strike “western” institutions, Mr. Salkida
says. “In the past few years the relationship with al-Qaeda has been
about ‘capacity building’. But the links
are growing.

” The recent attacks on Christian churches were designed to provoke
retaliation against Muslims, which
could drive more people into Boko
Haram’s arms, Mr. Salkida says. But he
rejects the notion that the insurgency is a reaction to having a Christian president, Goodluck Jonathan, or that
some northern politicians are involved.

“If there was a Muslim president tomorrow, this would not end. The war
is not about individuals, it’s about institutions. Boko Haram sees the
northern governors and emirs as part
of the institutions.”

Mr. Salkida dismisses reports that the group has different factions. Its 30-
member ruling council is largely
unchanged since 2010, he says, apart
from two members arrested by police.
“It’s clear they (Boko Haram) are winning the war,” he says. “But I believe Boko Haram wants to end this,just not in a climate of uncertainty and insincerity. Compromises are possible.”

•Courtesy: The Financial Times Limited 2012.

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NIGERIAN MILITARY OPERATIONAL PHOTOS

Nigerian Army and Nigerian Air Force troops on joint operations

Nigerian Army and Nigerian Air Force troops on joint operations

JTF troops in the Niger Delta on patrol ahead of the arrival of the C-in-C

JTF troops in the Niger Delta on patrol ahead of the arrival of the C-in-C

Posted in AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, ARMED CONFLICT, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, JOINT(MILITARY)TASK FORCE IN THE NIGER DELTA, MILITARY HARDWARE, MILITARY PHOTOS, NIGERIA, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN ARMY, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, TERRORISM, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE, WEST AFRICAN STANDBY FORCE | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

THE NIGERIAN AIR FORCE ‘AIR EXPO 2012’: FIRST PHOTOS

NAF 806 and NAF 811, Nigerian Air Force F-7NI AirGuard jets display

NAF 806 and NAF 811, Nigerian Air Force F-7NI AirGuard jets display

Special Forces rappelling off a Nigerian Air Force Mi-24V attack helicopter, NAF 529

Special Forces rappelling off a Nigerian Air Force Mi-24V attack helicopter, NAF 529

Posted in AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, DEFENCE INDUSTRIES & PRODUCTION, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, MILITARY EXERCISES, MILITARY HARDWARE, MILITARY PHOTOS, NIGERIAN AIR FORCE, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, TERRORISM, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments

U.S DEBATES ‘TERRORIST’ SANCTIONS FOR NIGERIAN MILITANTS

* Lawmakers favor putting Boko Haram
on terrorism list

* Diplomats, professors have reservations about listing group

* State Department denies it is stalling on a decision

By Mark Hosenball and John Shiffman WASHINGTON, May 25 (Reuters)

The U.S.State Department is debating the wisdom of designating the Nigerian militant group Boko Haram a “foreign terrorist organization” despite entreaties from lawmakers and the Justice Department to do so.

U.S. diplomats are giving serious
consideration to the arguments of a
group of academics who sent a letter to
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton this
week urging her department not to apply the “terrorist” label to the al Qaeda- linked group. The professors said Boko Haram’s violent tactics have “turned most Nigerians against them,” and their reputation among other militants might be enhanced by a “terrorist” designation.

U.S. action might also validate the
position of more radical elements of Boko Haram, which is divided into factions, the professors said. The academics also argued that any U.S.
move to label Boko Haram as a terrorist
group would “effectively endorse
excessive use of force” against the group by Nigerian security forces “at a time when the rule of law in Nigeria is in the balance.” Abuses by Nigerian security forces already have “facilitated radical recruitment,” the professors said.

A group of Republican senators led by
Scott Brown of Massachusetts introduced
legislation on Thursday that would
require the State Department to determine whether Boko Haram should
be formally labeled a “foreign terrorist” group. The designation would subject it to economic sanctions, including the
freezing of U.S. bank accounts, and would make it illegal for anyone in the United States to provide support to the group. Brown said the group had allegedly been responsible for more than 700 deaths in the last 18 months.

Senator Saxby Chambliss, vice-chairman
of the Senate Intelligence Committee,
said the group had been improving the
design of its homemade bombs, which
constitute a “serious threat to
international and U.S. interests.”

In the House of Representatives,
Republican Patrick Meehan, who chairs a
subcommittee on homeland security, has introduced an amendment that would force the administration to add Boko Haram to the terrorism list or explain why it was not doing so. A congressional source said State
Department representatives are lobbying Congress to stop such legislation.

U.S. government sources confirmed that
the academics’ arguments are being
taken seriously at the State Department,
where they have featured in internal
discussions about the “terrorist”
designation.

“NOT STALLING”

Last week, a senior State Department
official told Reuters the department was
“very concerned about violence in Nigeria” and added that it was “looking
at this very carefully.” The official said the department was “not stalling or dragging our feet.” But he noted that adding a group to the sanctions list is a “rigorous process which has to stand up in a court of law.”

A. Carl Levan, an American University
scholar who helped organize the letter to the State Department, said human rights groups had called attention to alleged “excesses” by Nigerian security forces,and said future abuses might only be encouraged if the United States puts a “terrorist” label on Boko Haram.

He also said that the principal legal
consequence of an FTO designation —
giving U.S. authorities the ability to
freeze the group’s assets and take legal
action against people who support it —
would have little effect, since “when they need money they rob a bank.”

Officially, the State Department will only
say that it is considering all the options. “Working with the Nigerian government
to address the growing threat of violent
extremism in Nigeria is a top priority for
the administration,” said a spokeswoman for the department’s Africa bureau. The official added: “On the question of designating Boko Haram as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO)…the Department does not comment in advance on such decisions. I can assure you, however, that the Department is reviewing all options with regards to Boko Haram, including designation as an FTO.”

In January, the top counter-terrorism
official at the Justice Department
weighed in with the State Department in favor of an early move to impose U.S.
sanctions on the group. Assistant Attorney General Lisa Monaco said in a letter to the State Department’s counter-terrorism chief that Boko Haram
met the criteria for a “foreign terrorist”
listing because it either engages in
terrorism which threatens the United States or has a capability or intent to do
so. Monaco said that although Boko Haram attacks until now have occurred only within Nigeria, the United States should not underestimate the threat the group poses to U.S. interests.

Reuters reported earlier this month on her letter, which was not released to the public. This is not the only case in which Congress and the administration are at odds over “foreign terrorist” designations. Several members of Congress, including Senate Intelligence Committee chairwoman Senator Dianne Feinstein,have been pressing the State Department for a terrorist designation for the Pakistan-based Haqqani network, which has been linked to the Taliban and attacks against U.S. interests in Afghanistan.

Some U.S. officials say the State
Department has resisted adding the
Haqqani group to the list on the grounds
that the move might complicate
diplomatic efforts to arrange some kind
of peace deal between militants and the Afghan government.

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INSURGENTS SUSPECTED TO HAVE GUNNED DOWN POPULAR GOMBE POLITICIAN IN MAIDUGURI

Imam Abubakar Mohammed Shekau, Boko Haram leader

Imam Abubakar Mohammed Shekau, Boko Haram leader

BORNO, Nigeria
May 26 (Xinhua)

A popular politician in Nigeria’s
northeastern zone was shot dead in the
West African nation’s restive city of
Maiduguri, capital of Borno State, by
gunmen suspected to be of the Boko Haram militant sect, the military said on
Saturday.

Spokesperson of the Joint Task Force (JTF) in the state Lt. Col. Sagir Musa told a Xinhua reporter in Maiduguri that the
politician identified as Alhaji Ahmadu, a
People’s Redemption Party (PRP)chairman in Nafada local government area of Gombe State, was killed on
Saturday morning.

According to the JTF spokesperson, the
incident occurred at Unguwan Yashi, in
the troubled Maiduguri metropolis. He said efforts have been intensified to
apprehend the culprits, adding that the
joint task force had already uncovered
plans by the dreaded sect to attack public buildings during the commemoration of Nigeria’s Democracy Day on May 29.

Posted in AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, ARMED CONFLICT, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, JOINT SECURITY TASK FORCE, NIGERIA, NIGERIA POLICE FORCE, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, NIGERIAN PARAMILITARY FORCES, NIGERIAN SPECIAL FORCES, RELIGIOUS FUNDAMENTALISM, RISK ANALYSIS, SECURITY ISSUES AND CONCERNS, STATE SECURITY SERVICE, TERRORISM, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE, WEST AFRICAN STANDBY FORCE | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

SPECIAL TASK FORCE – OP SAFE HAVEN(JOS PLATEAU) GETS NEW FORCE COMMANDER

Outgone Maj.Gen Mohammed Ibrahim(l) hands over to incoming Maj.Gen Henry Ayoola in Jos,May 13th 2012

Outgone Maj.Gen Mohammed Ibrahim(l) hands over to incoming Maj.Gen Henry Ayoola in Jos,May 13th 2012

Posted in AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, ARMED CONFLICT, BOKO HARAM ISLAMIC STATE MOVEMENT, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, JOS ETHNORELIGIOUS CONFLICT, MILITARY PHOTOS, NIGERIA, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN ARMY, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, RELIGIOUS FUNDAMENTALISM, RISK ANALYSIS, SECURITY ISSUES AND CONCERNS, SPECIAL TASK FORCE, STATE SECURITY SERVICE, TERRORISM, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE, WEST AFRICAN STANDBY FORCE | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

UN PEACEKEEPERS’ DAY 2012: NIGERIA HAS CONTRIBUTED 240,000 TROOPS, COPS TO WORLD PEACE

Nigerian ECOMIL troops work to restore peace to Liberia, 2003

Nigerian ECOMIL troops work to restore peace to Liberia, 2003

LEADERSHIP
Sat, 26/05/2012
EMMA OKEREH

Nigeria has contributed over 240,000
troops since it started sending soldiers,
police and other personnel required by
the United Nations to keep peace in the
world.

This revelation came from the 2010 UN report, which also classified Nigeria as the fourth largest troop contributor, even as no mention was made about the number of the dead.

These were the highlights at a briefing by the committee on the commemoration of 2012 UN Peacekeepers day billed for Tuesday, May 29, which incidentally is Nigeria’s Democracy Day.

Speaking to journalists in Abuja,chairman of the Planning Committee,
who is also the director-general, Institute for Peace and Conflict Resolution, Dr. Joseph Golwa, explained that the United Nations proclaimed May 29 of every year the ‘’UN Peace Keepers Day’’ to honour those who have sacrificed their lives for peace to reign. Golwa noted that the celebration had
become important so that those alive
would know that the efforts of the dead
were not in vain.

‘’In commemorating this day we will be
honouring, though posthumously,
Nigerians who lost their lives for the
sake of peace, and sending messages to
those in the mission fields that their
sacrifices are very much valued by the Nigerian government and people, as well as the international community. ‘’Besides, commemorating the event will
serve as a great source of psychological
encouragement and boost to families of
those who died for the cause of peace,
and a greater sense of fulfilment that
their sacrifices have not been in vain,’’ he said.

The DG said that although the UN had
declared this day since 2003, Nigeria only started about three years ago to observe it, even as he explained that the event would feature lectures, paper
presentation, exhibitions and drama.

Posted in AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, ARMED CONFLICT, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, MILITARY PHOTOS, NIGERIA, NIGERIA POLICE FORCE, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS, RISK ANALYSIS, SECURITY ISSUES AND CONCERNS, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE, WEST AFRICAN STANDBY FORCE | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NIGERIAN-AMERICAN MILITARY JOINT OPS

Nigerian ECOMIL soldier and US troops in Monrovia, Liberia

Nigerian ECOMIL soldier and US troops in Monrovia, Liberia

Nigerian Army Engineers and US Marines during OPERATION RESTORE HOPE, Somalia, 1990s

Nigerian Army Engineers and US Marines during OPERATION RESTORE HOPE, Somalia, 1990s

Posted in AFRICA PARTNERSHIP STATION, AFRICAN ARMED FORCES, ARMED CONFLICT, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, LIBERIA, MILITARY HARDWARE, MILITARY PHOTOS, NIGERIA, NIGERIAN ARMED FORCES, NIGERIAN ARMY, NIGERIAN MILITARY HISTORY, RISK ANALYSIS, SECURITY ISSUES AND CONCERNS, TERRORISM, U.S. AFRICA COMMAND, UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE, WEST AFRICAN STANDBY FORCE | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments

SOUTH AFRICA AND NIGERIA: BEST OF ‘FRENEMIES’

MMEGI ONLINE
25 May, 2012

Our diplomats shake hands and smile for the cameras, our governments say all the right things, and neither country acknowledges what they think is really at stake: Africa’s future and the chance to dominate it.

Deputy president Kgalema Motlanthe met with his Nigerian counterpart in Cape Town this week as part of the Nigeria- South Africa Bi-National Commission to thrash out all the petty administrative issues between the two countries. They addressed the more mundane aspects of international relations: technical cooperation, existing bilateral agreement implementation and customs administration. Don’t be fooled by the bureaucratic jargon: these things matter.

It was in March that the innocuous-sounding “customs administration” caused the year’s most serious diplomatic incident, when over-zealous South African customs officials deported a planeload of Nigerians for having the wrong yellow fever vaccination documentation. Nigeria was incensed and starting refusing visas to South Africans. The situation was only resolved after an abject apology from South Africa.

Motlanthe acknowledged that the relationship between the two countries had been going through a difficult time recently, telling Nigerian vice-president Namadi Sambo, “Both of us need a heart-to-heart talk inspired by the spirit of brotherhood and sisterhood as Africans with a shared destiny, so that we surface (sic) home truths as a prerequisite to clear up any irritants that may be currently serving as a wedge between us,” said Motlanthe, whose speechwriter was clearly enjoying the chance to employ some grandiloquent rhetoric.

The most pressing dispute between the two countries is also the most high- profile: the race to lead the African Union Commission. Nigeria is the biggest backer of Gabonese incumbent Jean Ping, and has been mobilising West African support for his second term. South Africa has its own candidate, home affairs minister Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma. Nigeria is nervous that South Africa wants the position to consolidate its power and influence over the continent. For its part, South Africa is frustrated at Nigeria’s apparent unwillingness to reform the AU Commission. Neither side is willing to compromise, and another stalemate is predicted when countries vote at the next AU summit in July.

This issue was apparently not discussed by the two vice-presidents, although a journalist asked Sambo about it after the meeting. After a long digression, he gave the cryptic message that “not only a position in the African Union, but even at the United Nations, Nigeria will support South Africa to take any position.” SABC reported this to mean Nigeria was backing Dlamini-Zuma, but it seems more likely the quote was taken out of context.

Officials from Dirco knew nothing about it when asked. Even more unlikely is that Nigeria would give up the chance of a permanent seat on the United for Nations Security Council, which South Africa also wants. This permanent seat is theoretical at present, as United Nations reform is still a long way off. But when it comes, there will have to be at least one spot on the Security Council for Africa, and it will go to the African country with the most money, influence and power – or the one with the most influential friends.

South Africa, as Africa’s biggest and most developed economy, is an obvious choice; but so too is Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country. However, the biggest and most bitter strain on South Africa-Nigeria relations is economic. South Africa prides itself on being Africa’s biggest economy and as the go-to country for companies wanting to invest in Africa. Nigeria, on the other hand, is the great disappointment, a symbol of what might have been.Blessed with massive oil reserves and a hard- working, entrepreneurial population, but blighted by poor governance and rampant corruption, economic development has eluded Nigeria.

But this is changing. Burnt by its exposure to Europe, South African growth is slowing drastically, predicted to be under three percent this year. Nigeria, by contrast, is looking at seven percent or more. And while South Africa’s gross domestic product is nearly twice Nigeria’s, this is no cause for comfort. In fact, it’s probably an accounting oddity. GDP statistics are always calculated from a base year and countries should usually update this base year regularly. South Africa last re-based its GDP in 2009; for Nigeria, there has been no re-basing since 1990.

When it does happen the effects will be dramatic. Ghana is a good recent example: when it re-based in 2010, the size of the economy suddenly jumped by 60 percent. Nigeria’s economy is predicted to increase by 40 percent, which will be a much more accurate representation of its real size. It will still be smaller than South Africa’s, but taking the respective growth rates into account, the Nigerian economy should outstrip South Africa’s by 2015 or 2016. This could leave South Africa in a difficult position.

Just imagine if Pretoria lost the AU race in humiliating fashion, was outmanoeuvred in the UN Security Council and found itself with a smaller and slower economy than Nigeria’s. Suddenly, Nigeria becomes a much more attractive proposition diplomatically, politically and economically. And South Africa becomes a country in decline.

The calculus for Nigeria is similar. It likes to see itself as an African superpower, but South Africa’s economic dominance and post-apartheid political muscle make Nigeria’s claim significantly weaker. Nigeria is also very sensitive about protecting its own economy from inroads by South African firms. MTN, Shoprite and DStv are making millions in Nigeria and most of that profit is flowing south. Hence the importance of protectionist measures such as strict visa regulations and restrictions on flights between the two countries (kept artificially low by a bilateral agreement between the two countries). These measures are just fine with South Africa, paranoid about illegal immigration.

Both countries are making mistakes. While their calculations make sense, it’s only because they’re based on the wrong premise: that it’s a winner-takes-all, zero-sum game and that there can be only one African “superpower”. But it’s a big continent, and there’s plenty to go round.Cooperation will be mutually beneficial for both country’s populations. There was a promising hint of this kind of cooperation at this week’s meeting, with a deal for South Africa to start importing more Nigerian oil and liquid fuel. South Africa needs a new supplier as it is likely to observe American sanctions on Iran, and Nigeria is more than happy for a new customer – especially one that brings guarantees. “We would guarantee to our Nigerian brothers demand for their liquid fuels, because we don’t want to source our fuel in areas that are likely to be unstable,” Motlanthe said, wilfully ignoring the fact that Nigeria remains one of the most unstable countries on the continent.

This trust is a good start. If it could be extended to other areas – the AU race, for example, or a waiver of visa requirements- the two countries would be an unstoppable combination and a powerful driver of African development .

Posted in AFRICA, ECONOMICS, INFRASTRUCTURE, NIGERIA, OIL & GAS, POLITICS | Tagged , , , , , | 7 Comments

AFRICAN UNION, SOMALI FORCES CAPTURE THE STRATEGICALLY IMPORTANT TOWN OF AFGOYE, NEAR MOGADISHU

UPDF troops in the thickets around Afgoye during the battle yesterday, 24 May 2012

UPDF troops in the thickets around Afgoye during the battle yesterday, 24 May 2012

ASSOCIATED PRESS
MOGADISHU, Somalia
Friday, May. 25, 2012

A military spokesman says African Union
and Somali forces have pushed Islamist
militants out of a town outside of
Mogadishu.

Lt. Col. Paddy Ankunda said African Union and Somali troops crossed into Afgoye on Friday. He said some fighting is still taking place with al-Shabab militants but that most of the town was under the troops’ control. The capture of Afgoye represents a major advance for African Union and Somali troops, who have made strong gains against al-Shabab over the last year. More than 300,000 internally displaced Somalis live around Afgoye, and officials say they will now have access to aid.

The UN representative for Somalia,
Augustine Mahiga, said Afgoye has been
an al-Shabab stronghold since the
militants retreated from Mogadishu in
August.

Posted in AFRICA, ARMED CONFLICT, BORDER SECURITY, COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS, GLOBAL DEFENCE NEWS, MILITARY HARDWARE, MILITARY PHOTOS, PEACE SUPPORT OPERATIONS, RELIGIOUS FUNDAMENTALISM, RISK ANALYSIS, SECURITY ISSUES AND CONCERNS, SEPARATISM, TERRORISM, URBAN GUERRILLA WARFARE | Tagged , , , , , , , | 4 Comments